| Current and future precipitation extremes over Mississippi and Yangtze River basins as simulated in CMIP5 models | |
| Pan, Zaitao1,2; Zhang, Yuanjie1,2; Liu, Xiaodong3; Gao, Zhiqiu2,4 | |
| 2016-02-01 | |
| 发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF EARTH SCIENCE
 |
| 卷号 | 27期号:1页码:22-36 |
| 文章类型 | Article |
| 摘要 | Both central-eastern U.S. and China are prone to increasing flooding from Mississippi River and Yangtze River basins respectively. This paper contrasts historical and projected spatialtemporal distribution of extreme precipitation in these two large river basins using 31 CMIP5 (coupled model intercomparison project phase 5) models' historical and RCP8.5 (representative concentration pathway) experiments. Results show that (1) over both river basins, the heaviest rainfall events have increased in recent decades while the lightest precipitation reduced in frequency. Over Mississippi River Basin, both the lightest precipitation (< 2.5 mm/day) and heaviest (> 50 mm/day) would decrease in frequency notably after mid-2020s while intermediate events occur more frequently in future; whereas over the Yangtze River Basin, all categories of precipitation are projected to increase in frequency over the coming decades. (2) Although the consensus of CMIP5 models was able to reproduce well domain-time mean and even time-averaged spatial distribution of precipitation, they failed to simulate precipitation trends both in spatial distribution and time means. In a similar fashion, models captured well statistics of precipitation but they had difficulty in representing temporal variations of different precipitation intensity categories. (3) The well-documented 2nd half of the 20th century surface summer cooling over the two river basins showed different associations with precipitation trends with higher anti-correlation between them over the U.S. region, implying different processes contributing to the cooling mechanisms of the two river basins. |
| 关键词 | Climate Change Extreme Precipitation Flooding Gcm Simulation |
| WOS标题词 | Science & Technology ; Physical Sciences |
| DOI | 10.1007/s12583-016-0627-2 |
| 关键词[WOS] | GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODEL ; CENTRAL UNITED-STATES ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; COUPLED MODEL ; SUMMER PRECIPITATION ; HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE ; WARMING HOLE ; PART I ; TRENDS ; CHINA |
| 收录类别 | SCI |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Geology |
| WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000369239800004 |
| 引用统计 | |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://ir.ieecas.cn/handle/361006/5845 |
| 专题 | 古环境研究室 |
| 作者单位 | 1.St Louis Univ, Dept Earth & Atmospher Sci, St Louis, MO 63108 USA 2.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Coll Appl Meteorol, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Forecast & Evaluat Meteoro, Nanjing 210044, Jiangsu, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Earth Environm, Xian 710075, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Atmospher Boundary Layer Phys & Atm, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Pan, Zaitao,Zhang, Yuanjie,Liu, Xiaodong,et al. Current and future precipitation extremes over Mississippi and Yangtze River basins as simulated in CMIP5 models[J]. JOURNAL OF EARTH SCIENCE,2016,27(1):22-36. |
| APA | Pan, Zaitao,Zhang, Yuanjie,Liu, Xiaodong,&Gao, Zhiqiu.(2016).Current and future precipitation extremes over Mississippi and Yangtze River basins as simulated in CMIP5 models.JOURNAL OF EARTH SCIENCE,27(1),22-36. |
| MLA | Pan, Zaitao,et al."Current and future precipitation extremes over Mississippi and Yangtze River basins as simulated in CMIP5 models".JOURNAL OF EARTH SCIENCE 27.1(2016):22-36. |
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| Current and future p（2906KB） | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 请求全文 | |
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