| Quantifying climatic variability in monsoonal northern China over the last 2200 years and its role in driving Chinese dynastic changes | |
| Li, Jianyong1; Dodson, John1,2; Yan, Hong1; Zhang, David D.3,4; Zhang, Xiaojian5; Xu, Qinghai6; Lee, Harry F.3,4; Pei, Qing7; Cheng, Bo8; Li, Chunhai9; Ni, Jian10; Sun, Aizhi11; Lu, Fengyan1; Zong, Yongqiang12,13 | |
| 2017-03-01 | |
| 发表期刊 | QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS
 |
| 卷号 | 159期号:2017页码:35-46 |
| 文章类型 | Article |
| 摘要 | Our understanding on the spatial-temporal patterns of climatic variability over the last few millennia in the East Asian monsoon-dominated northern China (NC), and its role at a macro-scale in affecting the prosperity and depression of Chinese dynasties is limited. Quantitative high-resolution, regionally-synthesized palaeoclimatic reconstructions as well as simulations, and numerical analyses of their relationships with various fine-scale, numerical agro-ecological, social-economic, and geo-political historical records during the period of China's history, are presented here for NC. We utilize pollen data together with climate modeling to reconstruct and simulate decadal- to centennial-scale variations in precipitation or temperature for NC during the last 2200 years (-200-2000 AD). We find an overall cyclic-pattern (wet/warm or dry/cold) in the precipitation and temperature anomalies on centennial- to millennial-scale that can be likely considered as a representative for the entire NC by comparison with other related climatic records. We suggest that solar activity may play a key role in driving the climatic fluctuations in NC during the last 22 centuries, with its quasi similar to 100, 50, 23, or 22-year periodicity clearly identified in our climatic reconstructions. We employ variation partitioning and redundancy analysis to quantify the independent effects of climatic factors on accounting for the total variation of 17 fine-grained numerical Chinese historical records. We quantitatively illustrate that precipitation (67.4%) may have been more important than temperature (32.5%) in causing the overall agro-ecological and macro-geopolitical shifts in imperial China with NC as the central ruling region and an agricultural heartland over the last 2200 years. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
| 关键词 | Pollen Data Northern China Climatic Variability Chinese Dynasties |
| WOS标题词 | Science & Technology ; Physical Sciences |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.01.009 |
| 关键词[WOS] | ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON ; RADIOCARBON AGE CALIBRATION ; TEMPERATURE VARIABILITY ; INNER-MONGOLIA ; POLLEN RECORD ; 2 MILLENNIA ; QUANTITATIVE RECONSTRUCTION ; PRECIPITATION VARIABILITY ; HEMISPHERE TEMPERATURE ; ATLANTIC OSCILLATION |
| 收录类别 | SCI |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Physical Geography ; Geology |
| WOS类目 | Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000395609300003 |
| 引用统计 | |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://ir.ieecas.cn/handle/361006/5503 |
| 专题 | 现代环境研究室 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Loess & Quaternary Geol, Inst Earth Environm, Xian 710075, Peoples R China 2.Univ New South Wales, Sch Biol Earth & Environm Sci, Sydney, NSW 2033, Australia 3.Univ Hong Kong, Dept Geog, Pokfulam Rd, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China 4.Univ Hong Kong, Int Ctr China Dev Study, Pokfulam Rd, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China 5.Nanjing Univ, Sch Geog & Oceanog Sci, Nanjing 210093, Jiangsu, Peoples R China 6.Hebei Normal Univ, Inst Nihewan Archaeol, Shijiazhuang 050024, Peoples R China 7.Educ Univ Hong Kong, Dept Social Sci, 10 Lo Ping Rd, Tai Po, Hong Kong, Peoples R China 8.Cent China Normal Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Wuhan 430079, Peoples R China 9.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Lake Sci & Environm, Nanjing Inst Geog & Limnol, Nanjing 210008, Peoples R China 10.Zhejiang Normal Univ, Coll Chem & Life Sci, Jinhua 321004, Peoples R China 11.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Earth Sci, 19A Yuquan Rd, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 12.Univ Hong Kong, Dept Earth Sci, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China 13.Guangzhou Inst Geog, Guangzhou 510070, Guangdong, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, Jianyong,Dodson, John,Yan, Hong,et al. Quantifying climatic variability in monsoonal northern China over the last 2200 years and its role in driving Chinese dynastic changes[J]. QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS,2017,159(2017):35-46. |
| APA | Li, Jianyong.,Dodson, John.,Yan, Hong.,Zhang, David D..,Zhang, Xiaojian.,...&Zong, Yongqiang.(2017).Quantifying climatic variability in monsoonal northern China over the last 2200 years and its role in driving Chinese dynastic changes.QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS,159(2017),35-46. |
| MLA | Li, Jianyong,et al."Quantifying climatic variability in monsoonal northern China over the last 2200 years and its role in driving Chinese dynastic changes".QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS 159.2017(2017):35-46. |
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| 文件名称/大小 | 文献类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| Quantifying climatic（3675KB） | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 请求全文 | |
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