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Assessment of PMIP3 model simulations of megadroughts over the eastern China during the last millennium
Qin, Yanmin1,2,3,7; Ning, Liang1,2,3,4,5,6,7; Chen, Kefan1,2,3,7; Liu, Jian1,2,3,4,7; Yan, Mi1,2,3,4,7
通讯作者Ning, Liang(ningliangnnu@126.com)
2020-02-22
发表期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0899-8418
页码20
摘要The simulated spatiotemporal characteristics and variability of decadal megadroughts over the eastern China during the last millennium of 7 model simulations from the Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (PMIP3) archive were assessed, and the corresponding mechanisms of the megadroughts were also investigated. The simulated megadrought features of frequencies, durations, magnitudes and spatial distributions were compared with reconstructed data. Comparison showed that climate models can reasonably reproduce the major features of megadroughts, however, the simulated megadroughts are not temporal synchronous with the reconstructed megadroughts, indicating that the internal variability rather than external forcing initiates the observed megadroughts. The simulated spatial distributions of wind and sea level pressure (SLP) anomalies during megadrought years showed that megadroughts over the eastern China corresponded to weakening of the East Asia Summer Monsoon (EASM) and strengthening of the East Asia Winter Monsoon (EAWM). A pattern of sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) with significant negative SSTA over the western central North Pacific and significant positive SSTA over eastern North Pacific and equatorial Pacific, resembling a positive PDO-like pattern, was found to suppress precipitation in eastern China. Therefore, it could be concluded that that internal climate variability is the main trigger of the megadroughts over the eastern China, while the North Pacific decadal variability is considered the key driving factor influencing the EASM and EAWM.
关键词climate dynamics climate modelling east Asia climate change and climate variability east Asian summer monsoon eastern China megadrought models assessment
DOI10.1002/joc.6513
关键词[WOS]NORTH-AMERICA ; PERSISTENT DROUGHTS ; SUMMER MONSOON ; CLIMATE MODELS ; PRECIPITATION ; PACIFIC ; VARIABILITY ; PATTERNS ; RAINFALL ; EVENTS
收录类别SCI ; SCI
语种英语
资助项目Open Funds of State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment[KLLQG1820] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFA0600401] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41420104002] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41631175] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41671197] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41971021]
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
项目资助者Open Funds of State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment ; National Key Research and Development Program of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:000514939800001
出版者WILEY
引用统计
被引频次:5[WOS]   [WOS记录]     [WOS相关记录]
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://ir.ieecas.cn/handle/361006/12749
专题现代环境研究室
通讯作者Ning, Liang
作者单位1.Nanjing Normal Univ, Minist Educ, Key Lab Virtual Geog Environm, Nanjing, Peoples R China
2.Nanjing Normal Univ, State Key Lab Cultivat Base Geog Environm Evolut, Nanjing, Peoples R China
3.Nanjing Normal Univ, Sch Geog, Jiangsu Ctr Collaborat Innovat Geog Informat Reso, Nanjing, Peoples R China
4.Qingdao Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol, Open Studio Simulat Ocean Climate Isotope, Qingdao, Peoples R China
5.Univ Massachusetts, Climate Syst Res Ctr, Dept Geosci, Amherst, MA 01003 USA
6.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Earth Environm, State Key Lab Loess & Quaternary Geol, Xian, Peoples R China
7.1 Wenyuan Rd, Nanjing 210023, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
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Qin, Yanmin,Ning, Liang,Chen, Kefan,et al. Assessment of PMIP3 model simulations of megadroughts over the eastern China during the last millennium[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2020:20.
APA Qin, Yanmin,Ning, Liang,Chen, Kefan,Liu, Jian,&Yan, Mi.(2020).Assessment of PMIP3 model simulations of megadroughts over the eastern China during the last millennium.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,20.
MLA Qin, Yanmin,et al."Assessment of PMIP3 model simulations of megadroughts over the eastern China during the last millennium".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2020):20.
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